Altrinchamvs
FC Halifax Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Halifax Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altrincham 2-1 FC Halifax Town
Original prediction
FC Halifax Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.1% | 35.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.2% | 26.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.7% | 39.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Halifax Town
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
FC Halifax Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80