Altrinchamvs
Eastleigh
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastleigh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altrincham 2-1 Eastleigh
Original prediction
Eastleigh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.0% | 34.1% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 27.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.3% | 38.5% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Eastleigh
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Eastleigh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00