GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Altrincham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Altrincham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dagenham & Redbridge are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Altrincham hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the National League, while Altrincham holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Altrincham

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Altrincham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AltrinchamWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dagenham & RedbridgeLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltrinchamDagenham & Redbridge
61.8Attack50.0
55.6Defence54.3
55.6Form40.6
57.8Power49.1
1.89xG1.20
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