Altona Magicvs
North Geelong Warriors
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 3/4/2023, 7:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altona Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Altona Magic are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while North Geelong Warriors are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Altona Magic hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 20.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Altona Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Altona Magic
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Altona Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50