GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/18/2026, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Altona Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Altona Magic are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dandenong Thunder are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Altona Magic hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Altona Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Altona Magic

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

11.7%

Altona Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Altona MagicDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Dandenong ThunderDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Altona MagicDandenong Thunder
37.5Attack33.3
45.8Defence26.1
37.5Form21.7
42.6Power28.5
1.89xG0.97
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