Altona 93vs
Niendorfer TSV
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altona 93 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 4-4 (6%), 5-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altona 93 2-3 Niendorfer TSV
Original prediction
Altona 93
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 04:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.0% | 41.0% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.2% | 25.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 33.9% | 33.7% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–37%
- 2.4–46%
- 3.5–36%
Predicted outcome
Altona 93
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Altona 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 19 · GA 16 · avg 3.80/3.20