Altglienickevs
Luckenwalde
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altglienicke · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 4-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altglienicke 3-1 Luckenwalde
Original prediction
Altglienicke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.7% | 83.6% | 18.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.4% | 10.8% | -10.6 pts |
| Away | 6.45 | 13.9% | 5.6% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Altglienicke
Probability
83.6%
Model confidence
83.6%
Altglienicke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00