Altglienickevs
Chemnitzer FC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altglienicke 0-2 Chemnitzer FC
Original prediction
Chemnitzer FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.6% | 29.6% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 23.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.2% | 47.1% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60