Altglienickevs
BSG Chemie Leipzig
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altglienicke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altglienicke 1-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig
Original prediction
Altglienicke
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.5% | 60.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.6% | 21.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 17.9% | 18.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Altglienicke
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Altglienicke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20