Altglienickevs
BFC Dynamo
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altglienicke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altglienicke 0-1 BFC Dynamo
Original prediction
Altglienicke
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 39.0% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.8% | 24.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.0% | 36.3% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Altglienicke
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Altglienicke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80