Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zhenys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Premier League, while Zhenys holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
20.8%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20