Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulytau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ulytau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Cup, while Ulytau holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulytau
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Ulytau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00