Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Altay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
14.3%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80