Altayvs
Nilüfer Belediye
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altay · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Altay 1-2 Nilüfer Belediye
Original prediction
Altay
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 37.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 28.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.8% | 33.9% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Altay
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Altay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60