Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Altay are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kaspiy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspiy hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00