Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Altay 0-0 Kaisar, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Altay 2-0 Kaisar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 33.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.4% | 31.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.3% | 34.6% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Altay 0–0 Kaisar
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AltayLLLDL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KaisarLLLLW
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AltayKaisar
27.5Attack29.0
47.8Defence56.5
24.6Form29.0
36.4Power41.0
0.76xG0.84