Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Altay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00