GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/8/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Alta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alta

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

14.3%

Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AltaDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Richmond KickersLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AltaRichmond Kickers
48.5Attack31.6
60.6Defence38.6
48.5Form31.6
53.6Power36.1
2.02xG0.65
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