Altavs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alta 1-2 One Knoxville
Original prediction
One Knoxville
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 30.2% | 28.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.0% | 25.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 43.8% | 46.3% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20