Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
13%
MediumconfidenceAlta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naples are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and alta hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the USL League One, favouring Alta with 13.0% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
13.0%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AltaWLLDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NaplesWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltaNaples
48.5Attack36.8
60.6Defence45.6
48.5Form35.1
53.6Power41.5
1.76xG0.77