Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alta 1-2 Naples
Original prediction
Alta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AltaLWLLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NaplesLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltaNaples
46.4Attack38.3
60.9Defence43.3
46.4Form33.3
52.4Power40.7
1.75xG0.80