Altavs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alta 2-2 Greenville Triumph
Original prediction
Alta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.4% | 44.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 27.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.1% | 28.2% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AltaLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Greenville TriumphLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AltaGreenville Triumph
40.2Attack35.7
51.7Defence38.1
36.8Form27.4
44.2Power35.4
1.65xG0.93