GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/10/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AltaLDLLD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Forward MadisonWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AltaForward Madison
48.5Attack66.7
60.6Defence64.9
48.5Form63.2
53.6Power64.5
1.06xG1.49
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