GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/29/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alta are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alta

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AltaDDDWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AltaChattanooga Red Wolves
48.5Attack59.3
60.6Defence53.7
48.5Form57.4
53.6Power57.4
1.43xG1.30
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