Almirante BrownvsTristan Suarez

Almirante Brown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.