GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Almirante Brown are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Telmo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.8%

Model confidence

54.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almirante BrownDWWWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San TelmoDDWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Almirante BrownSan Telmo
26.4Attack26.1
81.9Defence65.2
52.8Form33.3
56.1Power43.6
0.62xG0.30
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