Almirante Brownvs
Ferro Carril Oeste
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almirante Brown 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almirante Brown 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.9% | 31.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.63 | 34.8% | 39.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.4% | 29.8% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw 1.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Almirante Brown 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80