Almirante Brownvs
Deportivo Moron
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almirante Brown 0-0 Deportivo Moron, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almirante Brown 1-0 Deportivo Moron
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.6% | 31.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.65 | 34.5% | 35.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.9% | 33.2% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Almirante Brown 0–0 Deportivo Moron
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Almirante BrownDDLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Almirante BrownDeportivo Moron
27.5Attack50.0
76.5Defence64.7
47.1Form56.9
52.6Power58.4
0.62xG0.67