Almirante Brownvs
Deportivo Madryn
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almirante Brown 0-0 Deportivo Madryn, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almirante Brown 1-0 Deportivo Madryn
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.0% | 32.3% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.6% | 36.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.4% | 30.9% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Projected Score
Almirante Brown 0–0 Deportivo Madryn
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Almirante BrownWLWWD
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MadrynWWDWW
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Almirante BrownDeportivo Madryn
28.2Attack48.7
79.5Defence69.2
52.6Form55.1
55.6Power59.0
0.56xG0.60