GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Almirante Brown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almirante BrownLDDWW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Colon Santa FeDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Almirante BrownColon Santa Fe
26.4Attack42.7
81.9Defence74.7
52.8Form56.0
56.1Power58.6
0.43xG0.52
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