Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Almirante Brown

Almirante Brown

Home
D
00
Full time
CA Estudiantes

CA Estudiantes

Away
WD
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Almirante Brown(48%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Almirante Brown
48%
Draw
30%
CA Estudiantes
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Almirante Brown
34
CA Estudiantes
73
Defence
Almirante Brown
66
CA Estudiantes
82
Momentum
Almirante Brown
33
CA Estudiantes
67
Danger (xG)
Almirante Brown
0.90
CA Estudiantes
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Almirante Brown)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (CA Estudiantes)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Almirante Brown)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (CA Estudiantes)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown
DWLD
CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes
WDD

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Almirante Brown48%
Draw30%
CA Estudiantes22%

Almirante Brown leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Almirante Brown head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento in mixed form (D), while CA Estudiantes arrive in mixed form (WD). Almirante Brown have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for CA Estudiantes over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Almirante Brown (66/100) and CA Estudiantes (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Almirante Brown have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. CA Estudiantes have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Almirante Brown and CA Estudiantes in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Almirante Brown to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Almirante Brown 4784%, Draw 3025%, CA Estudiantes 2191%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Almirante Brown

Almirante Brown

D
@ All Boys
11 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Atletico Mitre
21 Jun 2026
31
L
@ Deportivo Moron
7 Jun 2026
01
D
vs San Telmo
16 May 2026
00
CA Estudiantes

CA Estudiantes

W
vs Atletico Mitre
11 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Racing Cordoba
5 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Colon Santa Fe
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?

GoalVio's model predicts Almirante Brown to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more