Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 14:59
Almirante Brown

Almirante Brown

Home
D
31
Full time
Atletico Mitre

Atletico Mitre

Away
LD
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Almirante Brown(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Almirante Brown
Win probability
Almirante Brown
38%
Draw
33%
Atletico Mitre
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Almirante Brown
34
Atletico Mitre
18
Defence
Almirante Brown
66
Atletico Mitre
27
Momentum
Almirante Brown
33
Atletico Mitre
17
Danger (xG)
Almirante Brown
0.90
Atletico Mitre
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Almirante Brown)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Atletico Mitre)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Almirante Brown)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atletico Mitre)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown
DWLD
Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre
LDLL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Almirante Brown38%
Draw33%
Atletico Mitre29%

Almirante Brown leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Almirante Brown head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento in mixed form (D), while Atletico Mitre arrive in mixed form (LD). Almirante Brown have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Atletico Mitre over 2 games.

The model rates Almirante Brown's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Atletico Mitre defence, and Atletico Mitre's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Almirante Brown backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Almirante Brown have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Atletico Mitre have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per away game.

Almirante Brown have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Almirante Brown to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Almirante Brown 3830%, Draw 3260%, Atletico Mitre 2920%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Almirante Brown 1Draws 00 Atletico Mitre
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
Almirante Brown
W31
Atletico Mitre

Recent form

Almirante Brown

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Atletico Mitre

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Atletico Mitre?

GoalVio's model predicts Almirante Brown to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Atletico Mitre?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs Atletico Mitre?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almirante Brown vs Atletico Mitre?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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