Almere City IIvs
Spakenburg
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City II 0-3 Spakenburg
Original prediction
Almere City II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.8% | 39.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 24.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.8% | 35.9% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Almere City II
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Almere City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20