Almere City IIvs
Koninklijke HFC
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City II 1-2 Koninklijke HFC
Original prediction
Almere City II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.9% | 54.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.20 | 21.4% | 22.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Almere City II
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Almere City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80