GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/29/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Almere City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Almere City II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Katwijk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Almere City II hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Tweede Divisie, while Almere City II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Almere City II

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Almere City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almere City IIL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
KatwijkWLDDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Almere City IIKatwijk
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power23.7
2.18xG1.20
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