Almere City IIvs
De Treffers
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City II 2-3 De Treffers
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.73 | 24.0% | 18.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.3% | 17.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 53.7% | 64.7% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00