Almere City IIvs
Barendrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City II 1-4 Barendrecht
Original prediction
Almere City II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.6% | 41.4% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.2% | 23.6% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.1% | 34.9% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Almere City II
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Almere City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00