Almere City FCvs
Roda
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almere City FC 1-0 Roda, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City FC 2-3 Roda
Original prediction
Almere City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.5% | 48.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.2% | 28.1% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 26.3% | 23.6% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Almere City FC 1–0 Roda
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Almere City FC
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Almere City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80