Almere City FCvs
FC Volendam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City FC 1-0 FC Volendam
Original prediction
Almere City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.8% | 56.4% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.5% | 21.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.7% | 22.5% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Almere City FC
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Almere City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40