Almere City FCvs
FC Eindhoven
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almere City FC 3-0 FC Eindhoven
Original prediction
Almere City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 67.4% | 71.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.12 | 18.0% | 16.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 6.35 | 14.5% | 12.7% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Almere City FC
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Almere City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60