GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 10/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Almaz Antey U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Almaz Antey U19 3-0 Ural U20

Original prediction

Almaz Antey U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4263.7%62.3%-1.3 pts
Draw4.5220.0%17.5%-2.5 pts
Away5.5116.4%20.2%3.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–17%
  2. 2.3–27%
  3. 3.2–16%

Predicted outcome

Almaz Antey U19

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

Almaz Antey U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almaz Antey U19LWWWW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Ural U20LWLWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Almaz Antey U19Ural U20
66.7Attack44.9
23.1Defence25.6
52.6Form32.1
48.6Power36.2
3.40xG1.86
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