GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 10/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Krasnodar U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Almaz Antey U19 5-2 Krasnodar U19

Original prediction

Krasnodar U19

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9323.0%21.6%-1.4 pts
Draw4.2021.5%17.8%-3.7 pts
Away1.6355.5%60.6%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–37%
  2. 2.2–37%
  3. 3.1–46%

Predicted outcome

Krasnodar U19

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Krasnodar U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almaz Antey U19WWWWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Krasnodar U19WWDLW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Almaz Antey U19Krasnodar U19
63.9Attack100.0
29.2Defence50.0
52.8Form73.6
50.1Power71.3
1.98xG3.65
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