GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 8/28/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Almaz Antey U19 4-2 CSKA Moskva U19

Original prediction

CSKA Moskva U19

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home7.4712.1%17.8%5.7 pts
Draw5.1817.4%19.4%2.0 pts
Away1.2870.5%62.8%-7.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–48%
  2. 2.1–38%
  3. 3.1–57%

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moskva U19

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

CSKA Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Almaz Antey U19DWLDW

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CSKA Moskva U19WWWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Almaz Antey U19CSKA Moskva U19
58.3Attack100.0
25.0Defence58.3
43.3Form78.3
43.8Power77.1
1.46xG4.01
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