Almansavs
San Clemente
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almansa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almansa 1-1 San Clemente
Original prediction
Almansa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.4% | 44.2% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 25.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 23.9% | 30.0% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Almansa
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Almansa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20