Almansavs
Huracán Balazote
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almansa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Almansa 3-1 Huracán Balazote
Original prediction
Almansa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.2% | 41.7% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.0% | 29.8% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Almansa
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Almansa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00