Almagrovs
Tristan Suarez
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tristan Suarez · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almagro 0-0 Tristan Suarez, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almagro 1-1 Tristan Suarez
Original prediction
Tristan Suarez
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.87 | 15.6% | 18.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.9% | 35.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 54.5% | 46.6% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
Almagro 0–0 Tristan Suarez
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Tristan Suarez
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Tristan Suarez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 0.40/0.00