AlmagrovsSan Martin Tucuman

Almagro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Martin Tucuman are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Tucuman hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.