Almagrovs
Nueva Chicago
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almagro 0-0 Nueva Chicago, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almagro 0-1 Nueva Chicago
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.0% | 34.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.5% | 36.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.6% | 28.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Almagro 0–0 Nueva Chicago
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlmagroLDLWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nueva ChicagoDLWLL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AlmagroNueva Chicago
28.9Attack24.4
60.0Defence67.8
38.9Form36.7
44.6Power45.0
0.61xG0.54