Almagrovs
Deportivo Maipu
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almagro 0-0 Deportivo Maipu, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almagro 2-2 Deportivo Maipu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 38.2% | 28.1% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.5% | 33.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.3% | 38.7% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.83 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Almagro 0–0 Deportivo Maipu
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlmagroLWDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MaipuDLWWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlmagroDeportivo Maipu
27.4Attack40.5
63.1Defence66.7
40.5Form46.4
45.6Power52.4
0.58xG0.84