Almagrovs
Chacarita Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/10/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Almagro 0-0 Chacarita Juniors, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Almagro 2-1 Chacarita Juniors
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.4% | 35.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.7% | 36.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.9% | 28.4% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Almagro 0–0 Chacarita Juniors
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlmagroWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chacarita JuniorsWLWLL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AlmagroChacarita Juniors
29.2Attack25.0
60.4Defence65.6
39.6Form34.4
45.1Power43.7
0.66xG0.55