Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Saturday, 20 June 2026Last updated 14:55
Almagro

Almagro

Home
L
20
Full time
Atlanta

Atlanta

Away
WL
Estadio Tres de Febrero
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Atlanta(50%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Almagro
Win probability
Almagro
21%
Draw
29%
Atlanta
50%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Almagro
9
Atlanta
34
Defence
Almagro
6
Atlanta
66
Momentum
Almagro
0
Atlanta
50
Danger (xG)
Almagro
0.00
Atlanta
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Almagro)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Atlanta)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Almagro)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Atlanta)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AlmagroAlmagro
LWW
AtlantaAtlanta
WLLWW

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Almagro21%
Draw29%
Atlanta50%

Atlanta leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Almagro head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Tres de Febrero in mixed form (L), while Atlanta arrive in mixed form (WL). Almagro have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Atlanta over 2 games.

Tactically, Atlanta hold the edge. Their modest attack (34/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Almagro defence (6/100), while Almagro's attack faces a solid Atlanta backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Almagro have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Atlanta have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Almagro have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Atlanta to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Almagro 2120%, Draw 2870%, Atlanta 5000%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Almagro 1Draws 00 Atlanta
Avg goals: 2.0
20 Jun 2026
Almagro
W20
Atlanta

Recent form

Almagro

Almagro

L
@ San Martin Tucuman
12 Jul 2026
03
W
vs Atlanta
20 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Nueva Chicago
11 May 2026
21
Atlanta

Atlanta

W
vs Colegiales
14 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Quilmes
4 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Almagro
20 Jun 2026
02
W
@ Midland
13 Jun 2026
21
W
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Almagro vs Atlanta?

GoalVio's model predicts Atlanta to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Atlanta?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Almagro vs Atlanta?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almagro vs Atlanta?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more